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What if Smash tournaments determined the Presidential election?

If you live in the United States like I do, you may be well aware that next year is a Presidential election year. This means that the media and the internet will become very toxic (even more so than they already are), both of them filled with people supporting the candidate they want to see elected. What if it didn’t have to be like that? Let’s pretend that for each National tournament (https://www.ssbwiki.com/List_of_national_tournaments) in the United States the winner of it takes all the state it’s held in electoral votes. In this post I will look at 16 players and see if any of them get the 270 electoral votes they need in order to become president (I used this link to track the totals: https://www.270towin.com/maps/blank-2020-electoral-map)
  • Disclaimer: Before I set off I want to say that this is by no mean’s a testament to a player’s skill level. It does not count any non-US tournaments and not a players are able to attend US tournaments at the same frequency (compare Hungrybox who lives in Florida to Leffen who lives in Sweden). With that said on with the post.
Has 270 or more electoral votes
  • Hungrybox (all wins SSBM)
States carried: New York (Revival of Melee 2), New Jersey (Apex 2010), Georgia (Tipped Off 10), Texas (Forte 2), Florida (Paragon Orlando 2015), Louisiana (MLG World Finals 2015), Virginia (Pound 2016), Illinois (Smash ‘N’ Splash 2), Nevada (EVO 2016), Indiana (Full Bloom 3), California (Smash Rivalries), Wisconsin (Smash ‘N’ Splash 3), North Carolina (Bad Moon Rising 2), Massachusetts (Shine 2017), Utah (GameTyrant Expo 2017), Michigan (The Big House 7), Pennsylvania (Smash Valley: Lucky #7), Maryland (Pound 2019) Electoral votes: 327
Hbox’s win at Shine 2017 was the one that put him over 270 for anyone curious.
  • ZeRo
States carried: SSB4 wins: Nevada (Double Vegas Down Attack 5), California (Final Battle), New Jersey (Apex 2015), Arizona (Sandstorm), Florida (CEO 2015), Virginia (Super Smash Con 2015), Washington (PAX Prime 2015), Michigan (The Big House 5), Georgia (Tipped Off 11), Texas (PAX Arena 2016), Illinois (Endgame), Massachusetts (Shine 2016), Wisconsin (Smash ‘N’ Splash 3), Colorado (DreamHack Denver 2017) PM wins: New York (Zenith 2014), Connecticut (GUTS 3) Electoral votes: 296
ZeRo’s Smash 4 career gives him 260 electoral votes. His PM career gets him over 270. Despite being a foreigner, ZeRo benefitted from living in the US.
  • Mew2King
States carried- SSBM wins: Massachusetts (Cataclysm 3), Indiana (Melee FC-Diamond), California (EVO West), Michigan (The Big House 3), New York (Revival of Melee 6), Illinois (Smash ‘N’ Splash), Washington (Pax Prime 2015), Texas (Clutch City Clash), Florida (CEO Dreamland) SSBB wins: Mayrland (Critical Hit 3), Pennsylvania (Clash of the Titans IV), Nevada (EVO 2009), Ohio (MLG Columbus 2010), North Carolina (MLG Raleigh 2010), Virginia (Super Smash Con 2015) Electoral votes: 287
M2K’s SSBM career gives him 205 electoral votes, but his Brawl career puts him over 270. Interestingly he has never taken a national in his initial home state of New Jersey.
Has 269 or less electoral votes
  • SuPeRbOoMfAn (all wins SSB64)
States carried: California (Genesis 2), New Jersey (Apex 2012), New York (Zenith 2014), Virginia (Super Smash Con 2015), Arizona (Operation Desert Smash), Texas (Hitstun 3), Massachusetts (Shine 2016), Indiana (Boss Battle 2), Washington (Don’t Park on the Grass), Pennsylvania (Keystoned 2017), Wisconsin (Smash ‘N’ Splash 3), Michigan (Called Out!), Utah (GameTyrant Expo 2018) Electoral votes: 246
The Smash 64 Goat (IMO), who retired earlier this year, nearly takes the presidency. If he would have won a national in Florida he’d be at over 270.
  • Mang0 (all wins SSBM)
States carried: Maryland (Pound 3), New York (Revival of Melee), California (Genesis), Indiana (Melee-FC10R), Michigan (The Big House 2), New Jersey (Zenith 2013), Nevada (EVO 2013), Texas (DreamHack Austin 2016), Tennessee (WTFox 2), Virginia (Super Smash Con 2016) Electoral votes: 203
Arguably the most patriotic U.S. smasher, he is still 67 votes away from the presidency
  • Ken
States carried: California (Tournament Go 4), Virginia (Game Over), Indiana (Melee-FC1), New York (MLG New York 2004), Maryland (Gettin’ Schooled 2), New Jersey (MLG New York 2005) (yes it was in Jersey City and held in 2006), Texas (MLG Dallas 2006), Illinois (MLG Chicago 2006), Nevada (EVO 2007) Electoral votes: 199
The King of Smash does pretty well for himself, MLG spreading their tournaments out helped him. (Note MLG DC 2005 was actually held in Virginia, so Ken does not get DC’s 3 electoral votes)
  • Dabuz (all wins SSB4)
States carried: New Jersey (Apex 2016), Tennessee (WTFox 2), California (2GGC: Civil War), Michigan (The Big House 7), North Carolina (Super FamiCon 2017), Texas (Pax Arena at Pax South 2018), New York (Smash Sounds), Virginia (Super Smash Con 2019) Electoral votes: 191
Nothing too interesting, I hope Dabuz adds a new state with Ultimate soon.
  • Tweek
States carried: SSB4 wins: Texas (Low Tier City 5), California (2GGC:MkLeo Saga), Maryland (Glitch 4), Georgia (MomoCon 2018), SSBU wins: New Jersey (Let’s Make Moves), Michigan (Frostbite 2019), New York (Return to Yoshi’s Island) Electoral votes: 178
Wouldn’t be surprised at all if he ever got to 270.
  • Ally
States carried: SSBB wins: New Jersey (Apex 2009), California (Genesis), Texas (WHOBO 2), Virginia (Pound V), SSB4 wins: Pennsylvania (Shots Fired), Illinois (Smash ‘N’ Splash 2), Nevada (EVO 2016), SSBU wins: Maryland (Pound 2019) Electoral votes: 176
Will almost certainly never get above 176 because of the events of the past year.
  • Armada (all wins SSBM)
States carried: California (Genesis 2), New Jersey (Apex 2012), Michigan (Super SWEET), Florida (CEO 2014), Arizona (Sandstorm), Nevada (EVO 2015), Illinois (UGC Smash Open), Wisconsin (Smash ‘N’ Splash 4), Virginia (Super Smash Con 2018) Electoral votes: 174
Living in Sweden certainly hinders Armada to an extent, but good on him for getting 174.
  • ThundeRzReiGN (all wins PM)
States carried: Texas (Low Tier City 4), New Jersey (Olympus), Arizona (Rewired 2016), California (Cashed Out), Pennsylvania (Smashadelphia 2017), New York (SuperNova 2) Electoral votes: 167
The PM Goat (IMO) stacks up pretty well on this list outplacing players such as Nairo, MkLeo, Leffen, and Salem).
  • Nairo
States carried: SSBB wins: New Jersey (SKTAR), Florida (CEO Dreamland), Virginia (Super Smash Con 2017) SSB4 wins: California (Paragon Los Angeles 2015), Louisiana (MLG World Finals 2015), Illinois (Dismantle 2), Nevada (LVL UP EXPO 2016), Georgia (MomoCon 2016) Electoral votes: 161
Nothing too interesting here, though I’m surprised to not see New York considering how close Nairo lives to it.
  • MkLeo
States carried: SSB4 wins: Michigan (Showdown: Battle Royale), Nevada (2GGT: ZeRo Saga), California (Genesis 4), Utah (GameTyrant Expo 2017), Florida (CEO 2018), Virginia (Super Smash Con 2018), Georgia (MomoCon 2019), Wisconsin (Smash ‘N’ Splash 5) Electoral votes: 151
The biggest reason I put the disclaimer at the beginning. Despite living in Florida these days, MkLeo seems to want to see how many nations he can win a tournament in, rather than how many states.
  • Leffen (all wins SSBM)
States carried: Florida (CEO 2015), Indiana (FC Smash 15XR), Tennessee (WTFox), Virginia (Super Smash Con 2015), California (HTC Throwdown), Washington (Don’t Park on the Grass), Colorado (Flatiron 3), Nevada (EVO 2018) Electoral votes: 146
Pretty much has the same problem as Armada, also has a nice geographic variance on his U.S. tournament wins.
  • Salem
States carried: SSBB wins: New Jersey (Apex 2013), SSB4 wins: Nevada (EVO 2017), Georgia (DreamHack Atlanta 2017), California (2GG: FE Saga), Illinois (Midwest Mayhem 10), Massachusetts (Shine 2018), SSBU wins: Washington (Port Priority 5) Electoral votes: 134
Though Salem doesn’t have the most national wins he makes up for it with geographic variety, the only state he’s won more than on is Nevada (EVO 2017 and Smash 4 Boot Camp)
  • PPMD (all wins SSBM)
States carried: New York (Revival of Melee 3), Virginia (Pound V), California (Kings of Cali), New Jersey (Apex 2014) Electoral votes: 111
Like M2K, he never carried his home state of North Carolina (though they didn’t have any Melee national tournaments when he was active).
If there are any other players you guys want to see feel free to mention them in the comments. I’m pretty sure Hbox, ZeRo, and M2K are the only Smashers who reach 270.
submitted by JFMV763 to smashbros

Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update September 29, 2020

Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update September 29, 2020
Notes by mr_tyler_durden and Daily Update Team
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Watch here:
Headlines
  • 67,856 Cases (+1,018), 1,170 Deaths (+8)
  • New cases by county: 226x Jefferson, 143x Fayette, 58x Laurel, 29x Warren, 28x Barren, 26x Christian, 26x Madison, 22x Hardin, 19x Calloway, 18x Boyd, 16x Rowan, 15x Kenton, 14x Henderson, 14x Scott, 13x Boone, 13x Franklin, 11x Carter, 11x Union, 11x Whitley, 10x Daviess, 9x Greenup, 9x Pulaski, 8x Bullitt, 8x Lincoln, 8x Magoffin, 8x Pike, 7x Bourbon, 7x Boyle, 7x Nelson, 7x Oldham, 7x Trigg, 6x Anderson, 6x Clark, 6x Garrard, 6x Hopkins, 6x Jessamine, 6x Logan, 6x Muhlenberg, 5x Campbell, 5x Grant, 5x Graves, 5x Harlan, 5x Marshall, 5x Morgan, 5x Shelby, 4x Adair, 4x Allen, 4x Bell, 4x Clay, 4x Floyd, 4x Hart, 4x Knox, 4x Leslie, 4x McCracken, 4x Mercer, 4x Ohio, 4x Perry, 4x Todd, 3x Breckinridge, 3x Caldwell, 3x Fulton, 3x Johnson, 3x Knott, 3x Larue, 3x Lyon, 3x Menifee, 3x Montgomery, 3x Owsley, 3x Spencer, 3x Wayne, 3x Webster, 3x Woodford, 2x Breathitt, 2x Carroll, 2x Estill, 2x Grayson, 2x Green, 2x Hancock, 2x Jackson, 2x Marion, 2x Martin, 2x Meade, 2x Rockcastle, 2x Taylor, 2x Trimble, 2x Wolfe, 1x Casey, 1x Edmonson, 1x Elliott, 1x Harrison, 1x Letcher, 1x McCreary, 1x Metcalfe, 1x Monroe, 1x Nicholas, 1x Powell, 1x Simpson
  • New deaths by county: 68 M Hickman, 71 F Henderson, 77 M Floyd, 86 M Bullitt, 86 F Kenton, 85 F Floyd, 87 F Kenton, 93 F Belle
  • Fast 4 at 4:
    • 1: Jobs Announcement: The latest company to join Kentucky's manufacturing sector is Chapin International, a manufacturer of metal compressed air sprayers based in Bavaria, New York.
    • 2: Vote!: So, as a reminder the deadline to register to vote is on Monday, October 5, visit http://govoteky.com/ for information on how to request your absentee ballot. Voting absentee is the safest way to vote this year because of COVID-19. So if you do not have access to the internet, you can call your county clerk's office to request your absentee ballot. The clerk's office will complete your absentee application over the phone with you. So that's an even easier step to be able to vote this year.
    • 3: PPE: As we all know PPE is a vital part of protecting Kentuckians during this pandemic and I am proud to report that, as of this week, our Department of Public Health warehouse has completed the stockpile. There is enough PPE in Kentucky for a 120 day surge.
    • 4: Mask Up KY
  • Dr Stack: And then if you look at Kentucky, we had a nice long plateau, almost three months, at about 50 new cases per million per day. Then we surged up, and we have now reached a plateau of 150 to 160 new cases per million per day. But here's the challenge: the good news is we're not exponentially growing, the bad news is, if you were to draw a line against this, we have a general upward slope which means that actually over the last four to six weeks we're losing ground, it's getting worse as we go on.
  • Dr Stack: The next thing is you have to get your flu shot. Flu spreads the same way can mask, you get your flu shot, there's a good chance we could shut down influenza this year. Again, if you're sloppy and careless it’s going to be impossible to know who has the flu and who has COVID, and people who are uncertain about their status are going to be subjected to a lot more needless worry, angst, and probably inconvenience, while they go through additional testing.
  • Dr. Stack: if you have a cough, a cold, runny nose, a fever, chills: do not leave your house, do not go to work, do not go to school. This, of all years, is not the year to be casual and spread any kind of infection, because you know what? If you’ve got a cough and a fever people aren't going to assume you’ve got the common cold, they're going to be worried you have COVID-19. Don't do it, if you're sick, stay home. If you're sick enough to need medical care, contact your primary care provider and seek advice.
  • Dr Stack: Please go get tested, now there's over 230 sites https://kycovid19.ky.gov
  • Is the 15-minute test going to become available in KY? -- So the White House announced, I think it was yesterday, that it's going to be shipping a very large number of Abbott rapid tests, and there's another word that's in there, because there's been two types of rapid tests, to the country. It will be about 100 million more to the entire country. Kentucky will receive its portion based on our population. We are going to receive them all between now and December 31st.
  • Will the state offer any further extension on renewals of driver's license similar to what was announced in July? That order expires September 30th. -- Yes. Tomorrow, I'll be signing an executive order that allows for people to renew their driver's license by a dropbox or by mail. You still have to renew it in one of those two fashions, all the way up to February of 2021. It doesn't automatically extend
  • Do you have a progress report on the job Ernst & Young is doing on unemployment? -- We can provide- we will work on that tomorrow an update on E&Y's work on unemployment. It's been absolutely necessary to prevent us from falling further behind. We are gaining ground but there continue to be a significant number of claims that we are working through.
  • Slides from Update
Full Notes
  • Lt. Gov: Alright, good evening everybody. I'm going to kick us off today with the Fast 4 at 4, lots of good news to share.
  • First is a jobs announcement. The latest company to join Kentucky's manufacturing sector is Chapin International, a manufacturer of metal compressed air sprayers based in Bavaria, New York. Chapin plans to invest nearly $5.5M, and create up to 100 full time jobs in the years ahead. The location will manufacture and distribute metal compressed air sprayers for industrial use, agriculture, home and garden, and other applications. This is a great project, located in Rockcastle County, Kentucky. Representatives from Chapin reached out to our local and state economic development teams just over two weeks ago, and the company has already found a home in an existing former manufacturing facility in the Rockcastle business park. This is a testament to Team Kentucky's dedication to helping businesses find the best fit for them, as quickly as possible. Kentucky's logistical advantages and ideal geographic location were major factors in our ability to bring Chapin to the Commonwealth. We are at the center of a 34-state distribution area in the eastern United States, with the existing infrastructure necessary for companies to ship products to customers as quickly as possible. It's one of the many advantages Kentucky offers companies, and we're glad to have the opportunity to help Chapin International business. Investments like this one from Chapin will help us to build a better Kentucky.
  • Alright, second up is voting. As many of you know I'm a former civics teacher and so one of my favorite things to do was to talk to my students about the democratic process and how important it is to be a responsible citizen and vote. As we all know there is record turnout expected all across the country for the 2020 general election. And as a mom, it's very exciting for me because this is the first presidential election in which Emma, Will, and Nate will all get to participate, Evelyn is the only one that doesn't get to and she's only eight months old, so. Our family has engaged in many discussions about democracy and how lucky we are to live in this country at a time when we have the right to vote. So, as a reminder the deadline to register to vote is on Monday, October 5, visit http://govoteky.com/ for information on how to request your absentee ballot. Voting absentee is the safest way to vote this year because of COVID-19. So if you do not have access to the internet, you can call your county clerk's office to request your absentee ballot. The clerk's office will complete your absentee application over the phone with you. So that's an even easier step to be able to vote this year.
  • Third, we have more good news about PPE. Kentuckians have continued to answer the call in the fight against COVID-19. It is this team Kentucky spirit that makes our home so special. I can tell you that spirit of unity, despite a global pandemic, is on full display through the Commonwealth from Paducah to Pikeville, and from Maysville to Monticello. Two weeks ago governor Beshear and I visited the Department for Public Health's warehouse to show the success in securing PP for frontline workers, and other Kentuckians. As we all know PPE is a vital part of protecting Kentuckians during this pandemic and I am proud to report that, as of this week, our Department of Public Health warehouse has completed the stockpile. There is enough PPE in Kentucky for a 120 day surge. Governor Beshear has talked about the time, earlier in the pandemic, when he spent days on the phone trying to secure PPE. He will tell you, he was not sure that this day would come. This is one of the successes for Kentucky in our battle against COVID-19. Our team has worked diligently to secure the protective equipment we need in our hospitals, in our long term care facilities, and other crucial frontline jobs. We appreciate those workers, our corporate partners, and everyday Kentuckians who contributed to make sure that we could reach this point.
  • And last but not least, we're going to talk about Mask Up Kentucky and show some really good examples from across this Commonwealth of folks who are wearing their masks and doing the right thing.
  • Alright, thank you to our Lieutenant Governor. And today, continuing school pride here in the Commonwealth, I'm wearing Knox County Public Schools. This was sent to me by their Director of Communications with a really nice note talking about how their community had come together to fight for each other, to protect one another, and I love- this is this the line they have under their letterhead: “Inspiring leaders and changing futures one child at a time.” So thank you to Knox Public Schools. Also want to let you know we have a new member of our production team, who is Jim, who's helping us out here, moving forward, so now we have Kenneth at home. We miss you Kenneth. We don't miss the slides, but we miss you, James, who is here working on that and now, Jim as well. Now, I've known Kenneth for a long time, he'll take that in good humor or we'll find out about it on Twitter here in just a little bit.
  • Alright, while that's good fun- today's COVID report is not.
  • Today we are reporting our second highest total that we have had since March the sixth at 1,018.
  • Positive cases today: 1,018 - What that means is that we are on pace to have even more cases than last week where we set a record number of cases.
  • Probable cases: 8,312
  • Total confirmed cases: 67,856
  • Children Under 18: 157
  • New cases by county: 226x Jefferson, 143x Fayette, 58x Laurel, 29x Warren, 28x Barren, 26x Christian, 26x Madison, 22x Hardin, 19x Calloway, 18x Boyd, 16x Rowan, 15x Kenton, 14x Henderson, 14x Scott, 13x Boone, 13x Franklin, 11x Carter, 11x Union, 11x Whitley, 10x Daviess, 9x Greenup, 9x Pulaski, 8x Bullitt, 8x Lincoln, 8x Magoffin, 8x Pike, 7x Bourbon, 7x Boyle, 7x Nelson, 7x Oldham, 7x Trigg, 6x Anderson, 6x Clark, 6x Garrard, 6x Hopkins, 6x Jessamine, 6x Logan, 6x Muhlenberg, 5x Campbell, 5x Grant, 5x Graves, 5x Harlan, 5x Marshall, 5x Morgan, 5x Shelby, 4x Adair, 4x Allen, 4x Bell, 4x Clay, 4x Floyd, 4x Hart, 4x Knox, 4x Leslie, 4x McCracken, 4x Mercer, 4x Ohio, 4x Perry, 4x Todd, 3x Breckinridge, 3x Caldwell, 3x Fulton, 3x Johnson, 3x Knott, 3x Larue, 3x Lyon, 3x Menifee, 3x Montgomery, 3x Owsley, 3x Spencer, 3x Wayne, 3x Webster, 3x Woodford, 2x Breathitt, 2x Carroll, 2x Estill, 2x Grayson, 2x Green, 2x Hancock, 2x Jackson, 2x Marion, 2x Martin, 2x Meade, 2x Rockcastle, 2x Taylor, 2x Trimble, 2x Wolfe, 1x Casey, 1x Edmonson, 1x Elliott, 1x Harrison, 1x Letcher, 1x McCreary, 1x Metcalfe, 1x Monroe, 1x Nicholas, 1x Powell, 1x Simpson
  • Total tests conducted: 1,446,385 (PCR: 1,362,929, Serology: 55,904)
  • Positivity Rate: 4.24% - That's a positive thing.
  • Total hospitalized: 5,250
  • Currently hospitalized: 589
  • Total in ICU: 1,520
  • Currently in ICU: 129
  • On a ventilator: 81 - Please pray for those individuals
  • Total recovered: 11,792
  • New deaths today: 8 - Sadly we are reporting a loss of eight additional Kentuckians due COVID-19 or that COVID-19 was a contributing factor to their deaths.
  • Total Deaths: 1,170
  • New deaths by county: 68 M Hickman, 71 F Henderson, 77 M Floyd, 86 M Bullitt, 86 F Kenton, 85 F Floyd, 87 F Kenton, 93 F Belle
  • Let's remember and think about those families, let's make sure we turn on our green lights, and let's also know when we have 1,018 cases it means we're going to lose more people moving forward. 1,018 cases is far too many. It does mean we're doing a lot of tests, and that's important; because we got to find those positives- we got to make sure that we can either quarantine them or get them the help they may need in the hospital, finding those positive cases, it helps make sure that we can get them better. But 1,018 cases is going the wrong direction. So, we need you to wear a facial covering. 1,018 cases ought to be a wake up call if last week's 5,000 almost 5,000 cases wasn't. We can't let this thing get out of control again because maybe we're tired. We know the steps that it takes and I think tomorrow we'll be back again with our revised top 10 rules to defeat COVID-19, because we probably need to talk about them more and again. But, but this mask. We really need you to where it really needs you to wear it.
  • Racial breakdown of all cases: 80.32% Caucasian, 11.84% Black or African-American, 1.54% Asian, 5.80% Multiracial
  • Ethnicity breakdown of all cases: 89.17% non-Hispanic and 10.83% Hispanic
  • Racial breakdown of all deaths: 83.55% Caucasian, 12.80% Black or African-American, 1.12% Asian, 2.52% Multiracial
  • Ethnicity breakdown of all deaths: 96.41% non-Hispanic and 3.59% Hispanic
  • Long Term Care Facilities (PDF): 38 new residents and 23 new staff positive from yesterday, and 3 more deaths, 1 new facility.
    • Total facilities: 339
    • Total deaths: 670
    • Active cases: 576 residents, 437 staff
    • Total cases: 4413 residents, 2928 staff
  • K-12 Update (PDF): 15 new students and 14 new faculty/staff positive, 12 new schools from yesterday.
    • Total facilities: 576
    • Active cases: 746 students, 348 faculty/staff
    • Total cases: 1138 students, 411 faculty/staff
  • Again, this is our, our, our audited version, you're going to see the dashboard, which will have more up-to-date numbers, more immediate numbers, again remember our dashboard is what's reported by schools for the day before. It hasn't gone through the vetting of the local health department and through us but it's a way to have some immediate idea of what we may be seeing in your school or your community. And this is after it's gone through our process which can lag for five days.
  • University Update (PDF): 303 new students and 2 new faculty/staff positive from yesterday, 3 new facilities.
    • Total facilities: 58
    • Active cases: 1374 students, 48 faculty/staff
    • Total cases: 3244 students, 87 faculty/staff
  • I said yesterday that I believed we were at the start of a new escalation, we're certainly seeing that in today's numbers. That means we got to work harder. Now this is a war and we've won many battles. We can't walk away from the battlefield. We can't stop doing what it takes and I really need your help. In the Fall, and I think Dr Stack, who's back with us today after getting a week off, which I know is needed, will tell you that right now, moving into the fall, has the potential to be the most dangerous time we have seen in Kentucky. And it doesn't have to be, because we know that there is a vaccine in our future we just have to get to the point where we can prove that it's effective and deploy it to enough people. So are we willing to do what it takes to protect one another, until that point in time? I think that answer is yes, but we’ve got to prove it. Alright, I'm gonna ask Dr Stack to come up. He's got a couple of different things to come over to go over and then we'll answer questions.
  • Thank you Governor, it's good to be back. And I know that the people watching this will appreciate it was nice to go somewhere where no one recognized me for a change. So, I enjoyed my time away. I have a few updates I want to go over, So I'm going to start with the schools. So, for K-12 schools yesterday was the first day that the self-reported data from the schools went live as a public dashboard. So this was a screenshot that I took before I came here, you'll see a huge spike up on the data on the right hand side, that's what you would expect. In the interest of clarity, the schools were asked to report yesterday, the 28th, data for the first 24 hours. So information reported them in the last 24 hours, I didn't want to- this was not a tag; you're it moment, I'm not trying to go back in time, we're going to get a new steady state as we go forward. So, people may have had folks in quarantine last week or new cases last week that won't be captured here, it's a snapshot in time and it's beginning on Monday, the 28th. As I understand that we have about 2,000 K-12 schools in the state of Kentucky, that's public and private, of those we have about 1,700 plus in our database so far. Those who are not in the database we're getting outreach and emails. Thank you, we appreciate that, and we expect it, and we will add you if your name is not presented the way you want it presented, we will update those things. So we're working through those details, but it just went live yesterday.
  • We have over 1,300 schools who have reported data into this. So I'm satisfied that this is a good first step, but clearly when we're little over 1,300 reporting, when I just told you there's almost 2,000, we've got a ways to go. But for being only the second day that we've been doing this, thank you very much, I appreciate the effort. For those in the general public and for those who work in schools, K-12, this is a tool for you, more than anyone else. So we have other surveillance tools that I'll use for public health and I will definitely look at this but this is for the public. For those of you who have children in K-12 schools, you should be able to go here, you should be able to find your school by name, and you should be able to find the data that they've reported. If you don't find data here, I encourage you to call the school and ask them and enquire and work in partnership with them. Remember we get through this better if we work together. No one wins when we're pointing fingers at folks. This is all about trying to be honest, as open as we can, acknowledging the data, as we understand it, and being honest about that, and working together in good faith. So this is a tool for the public to try to help you be informed, at least in some closer to real-time situation as to what's going on in the school. We will report that the dashboard will update every morning with data from all the way through the previous day. And that's how that will be updated, and we'll go from here and see how that progresses over time,
  • Those of you who saw me discussed this a couple weeks ago will recognize this. This is the color-coded metric-based dashboard for schools to determine the mode of instruction they should be in for school. The way this works, you're supposed to look, if you're a superintendent or someone responsible for school, every Thursday we recommend it at eight o'clock at night because we update this around dinnertime or late afternoon every day. You look Thursday evening at the map that we have on our website, I didn't put the map in here, it's published right on the main page of the website every single day, you match the color of your county to the color on this map, it's that simple, and then you do the things that are down the column. Now those are recommendations and folks have asked for these recommendations or these requirements. So, the reporting I just talked about, and a metric along these lines, part of this comes from a KRS statute that talks about how schools behave during epidemics. This is all to give public health guidance so that superintendents can decide whether to have their students in person, virtual only, or hybrid instruction, and there are instructions and guidelines down there and a wealth of KDE documents. The Kentucky Department for Public Health continues to work with the Kentucky Department for Education so thank you for that partnership. We did make one change to this today, and this rests with me. I did not like that in some states, they used a 14 day criteria that when they closed to in-person instruction, they had to shut down for two weeks. I wanted to use the metric as much as possible to guide decisions to open and close and not pick, you know, an arbitrary number of 14 days. So I put in there, instead of a 14 day metric that when you hit the red level which is a very high level of disease that you had to get back down to yellow before you should consider resuming in-person instruction. I described that as Chutes and Ladders you hit a long chute and if you remember that game and you went down a couple levels. I have removed that part so now you just follow when you check on Thursday night whatever color, your county is what you should do for the following week, and you don't have to get back down to yellow. I have said from the beginning, it is not our intent to strand people in the wrong categorization. The tool is intended to identify when the disease is particularly active in your community, the entire community, that involves K-12 schools but it also involves nursing homes, and businesses, and also restaurants, and bars, the whole community has to come together- it's a community based problem, and the community has to come together to do what needs to be done to improve the situation. So the one change we made today was you don't have to go all the way back down to yellow to consider resuming in-person instruction. But we do strongly urge you to read everything that's on there, follow the guidance that's posted. And I have to place this in context before I go to my next slide. We have to take this seriously folks, it's about to get colder, people are going to go indoors more, the disease is still out there. Every place, every place on the planet Earth where people have gotten lazy and lax about following the things we recommend has seen a surge in disease, every place. And we've had some improvements in hospital care and some improvements in treatment, but we have not had any massive breakthroughs. So we are in a position where if we take our eye off the ball, we're gonna get in trouble real quick, and I'll make that point on the next slide.
  • So you've seen me use these, those of you who watch these briefings on a regular basis, over and over. This is from the 91-Dovic, the COVID-19 backwards website. And what it shows is, adjusted by population, the number of new cases per million people in your state on the seven day rolling average. So if you look New York got smacked hard and badly at the beginning, in fact to this day it's one of the areas that was the hardest hit in the entire United States and probably in the world, other than maybe Wuhan in the very beginning. New York has still managed to keep their disease burden relatively low, but even New York is still running that line down there, I think it’s at 50, so it's still running active disease, but it's much more suppressed. If you look at Kentucky, we're at about 152, now actually 160 new cases per million people per day. You’ll have to take my word on this, is really hot, that's running very hot. Remember this is a disease that when it gets out of control it starts to double rapidly. And so, the little simple math here you go from one to two to four to eight to 16 those numbers are still relatively small. When you go from 150 to 300 to 600 to 1,200 those are big numbers. So as you start getting those bigger numbers, that's more people sick, and after people get sick, hospitalizations follow, and after hospitalizations, that's when you can have deaths. And so what I put in here is New York as the red line. Who's relatively well controlled by comparison, if you were looking at Germany, on a different map- I can't put those that I found yet on the same map, countries and the States. If you were to take Germany, New Zealand, South Korea places that have lowered the disease and really kept it there, they would belong down near that black line at the very bottom. They've controlled the disease so well that in that country- if you didn't follow the rules you could walk out in public and you'd have a very low likelihood of getting sick but the reason it's that safe, is because they followed all the rules and they kept things closed down so that people in those countries are remarkably safe. But it's because they have very strong adherence to the things we're recommending be done. So, the US overall is the orange line. And if you look, we had a surge in the beginning, and a plateau and a surge and then it came back down and now it's on the upswing. I don't remember the latest data but as recently as the last 48 hours there were at least 26 states who are having a noteworthy positive increase in cases.
  • And then if you look at Kentucky, we had a nice long plateau, almost three months, at about 50 new cases per million per day. Then we surged up, and we have now reached a plateau of 150 to 160 new cases per million per day. But here's the challenge: the good news is we're not exponentially growing, the bad news is, if you were to draw a line against this, we have a general upward slope which means that actually over the last four to six weeks we're losing ground, it's getting worse as we go on. And it's getting worse at a time that schools are going back into session, colleges and universities are in session, bars and restaurants are open. Remember we said we tried to take a multifactorial decision making approach to this, we looked at a lot of different things, we recognize the importance of the economy, and people's wellness, and being at work, and activities, but we can't afford to let this get out of control. Here's the thing for those who like casino metaphors, the house always wins. So here's the thing: people may flaunt the rules and disregard the rules and you know what? You may luck out, and it may work out okay. But the bug, the virus, is the house here. I don't know what county, or what city, or where, but if we ignore the rules someone's going to get bitten and they're going to get bitten bad. I don't have to guess on that, I can tell you that with absolute certainty: Everywhere that people got sloppy the virus got out of control and took a lot more lives. So please, when I talk about these wrap up points I'm going to make here, please take this seriously. I hope you've seen over the last six to seven months, we have gone through a period in the spring where there was so much we didn't know, and there was legitimate reason to be terrified of what could happen. And now we've gotten into this phase where we know that if we take certain simple steps that we can control the spread of the disease. Now people are really tired of this, they're fed up with hearing about this stuff, and they want to get back to their lives, but I'm going to tell you, that's not happening until we get to some time next year and probably not until past the summertime, because even when we get the vaccines- and I'm glad that things have gotten revised at the federal level because now it's aligning with what I was saying for weeks before, is that we're not going to have sufficient amount of quantity of vaccination materials to get everybody until we get to the summer or beyond next year. Hopefully we'll get something in late December or early January, but it'll be a small amount and it will be for the highest risk or highest targeted individuals, and then we'll move forward from there. And when we get to a better place where we have more information and it's appropriate we'll update you on vaccination plans, which we're actively working on too. But until then, we've got to wear masks, we have to physically distance more than six feet, you have to wash your hands. You've got to do three other things, if you have a cough, a cold, runny nose, a fever, chills: do not leave your house, do not go to work, do not go to school. This, of all years, is not the year to be casual and spread any kind of infection, because you know what? If you’ve got a cough and a fever people aren't going to assume you’ve got the common cold, they're going to be worried you have COVID-19. Don't do it, if you're sick, stay home. If you're sick enough to need medical care, contact your primary care provider and seek advice.
  • The next thing is you have to get your flu shot. The United States apparently ordered 200 million doses of influenza vaccination this year which is higher than the 170 million they did the year before and even that was apparently a peak of sorts. You have to go out and get your flu shot. Let's make sure we use all those doses and force the government to order more of them, because if you get the flu shot, it's going to reduce the burden of flu. And if you wear your mask you know what? Flu spreads the same way can mask, you get your flu shot, there's a good chance we could shut down influenza this year. Again, if you're sloppy and careless it’s going to be impossible to know who has the flu and who has COVID, and people who are uncertain about their status are going to be subjected to a lot more needless worry, angst, and probably inconvenience, while they go through additional testing.
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